Texas › Home prices › Rent vs. buy calculator
Rent or buy in Texas? Run the numbers.
Twelve cities. Sourced defaults. Change any of them.
Texas homes are cheaper than in many states, but the monthly bill is not. Property tax often runs above 2% of value before exemptions (property taxes), the average homeowners premium is $3,489 a year (TDI, 2025), and the 30-year rate is 7.24% (Freddie Mac, Oct 29, 2026). This calculator compares owning with renting the city’s median 2-bedroom and investing the difference, year by year. With our default assumptions, renting is still ahead after 30 years in all 12 cities. That is our math, not a forecast, and a lower rate or faster price growth can flip it.
Numbers last checked October 31, 2026The calculator
Pick a city to load its median home price, median 2-bedroom rent and property tax rate. Everything else starts at a statewide figure or a plain assumption. Edit any box; the result and the table update as you type.
This calculator needs JavaScript. Without it, see the worked Houston example below, which uses the same defaults and the same math, and the table of defaults for every city.
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| Year | Cost to own | Rent | Home value | Loan left | Buyer’s net worth | Renter’s net worth | Ahead |
|---|
All results are our arithmetic on your inputs. Net worth counts only what this decision changes: home equity (after the selling cost you enter) plus invested savings.
How it works and what it assumes
- The buyer pays the down payment, then each year pays principal and interest on a 30-year fixed loan, property tax, insurance, HOA dues and maintenance. Net worth is the home’s value minus the loan balance and minus the buying and selling cost you enter.
- The renter puts the same down payment into investments on day one. In any year owning costs more than renting, the renter invests the difference; in any year renting costs more, the buyer invests it. Investments grow at the return you set, once a year.
- “Buying pulls ahead” is the first year from which the buyer’s net worth stays at or above the renter’s through the last year you chose. If buying leads early but falls behind later, renting wins.
- Property tax is the combined rate times the home’s value at the start of each year. We assume the appraisal matches the market price and ignore the 10% yearly cap on homestead values, which would lower the bill in fast-rising years.
- Homestead exemption, kept simple. With the box ticked, $140,000 comes off the value taxed by the school district only. Cities, counties and hospital districts still tax the full value. Many local bodies give their own optional exemptions too (HISD adds 20%, and Bexar County, University Health and San Antonio give 20%; see property taxes), and we leave those out, so the tax line runs high for many owners. The extra $60,000 for owners 65 and older is not included.
- Costs tied to the house (insurance, HOA and maintenance) rise each year with home prices. Rent rises at the rent growth rate.
- Left out: mortgage insurance on loans with under 20% down, flood or windstorm coverage, federal tax effects (the mortgage-interest deduction, and tax on investment gains), refinancing, and the senior exemption. Closing and selling costs are zero unless you enter them. We do not have a sourced Texas figure for them, so the default is 0%, which makes buying look better than it is.
Planning assumptions, not forecasts: home price growth 3%, rent growth 3%, investment return 5%, maintenance 1% of value. These are round starting points we chose. For context, the Texas median was down 0.4% in a year in Q3 2026 and the statewide rent median was down 1.5% (Apartment List, Oct 2026 data, via Texas rent). Use your own view.
Where the defaults come from
City defaults come from our home prices, city comparison, property tax and city pages. The home price is the newest local median on our site; its area and month differ by city. For the four cities where we have not confirmed every rate in the stack, the calculator starts at 2.00%, the low end of the roughly 2% to 2.6% big-city range on our property tax page. That is a placeholder: replace it with the rate on your tax bill.
| City | Home price | Price source | 2BR rent | Combined tax rate per $100 | School share | Tax source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| By city | ||||||
| Houston | $325,000 | HAR, Greater Houston single-family median, Sep 2026 | $1,323 | $2.1316 (2026 tax year) | $0.8421 | Harris County Tax Office, HISD, HCC, Community Impact (city rate proposed, held flat; before HCDE) |
| Dallas | $385,000 | MetroTex, North Texas median (not city-only), Sep 2026 | $1,428 | $2.2267 (2025 tax year) | $0.993835 | Dallas County Tax Office (2025 is the last complete year; Dallas County 2026 rate is on the Nov 3 ballot) |
| Fort Worth | $385,000 | MetroTex, North Texas median (not city-only), Sep 2026 | $1,317 | $2.1997 (2026 tax year) | $1.029099 | Tarrant County Tax Office |
| Austin | $570,958 | Unlock MLS via KXAN, City of Austin median (metro: $421,000), Sep 2026 | $1,426 | $2.0465 (2025 tax year) | $0.9252 | Neuhaus Realty, compiled from Travis County rates (2026 city rate is higher, at $0.579948) |
| San Antonio | $302,999 | SABOR, San Antonio area median, Sep 2026 | $1,173 | $2.512 (2026 tax year) | $1.1869 | Bexar County Tax Office (SAISD rate includes an increase on the Nov 3, 2026 ballot) |
| El Paso | $272,950 | Texas REALTORS, El Paso metro median, Q1 2026 | $1,127 | $2.6437 (2025 tax year) | $1.0807 | El Paso Central Appraisal District, City of El Paso, KVIA, Hoodline (the city proposed a higher 2026 rate) |
| Corpus Christi | $276,750 | Texas REALTORS, Corpus Christi metro median, Q1 2026 | $1,234 | 2.00% placeholder (no combined rate confirmed) | $0.9583 | Corpus Christi ISD rate proposed in June, via KRIS 6, 2026-27 school year |
| Lubbock | $234,000 | Texas REALTORS, Lubbock metro median, Q1 2026 | $1,174 | 2.00% placeholder (no combined rate confirmed) | $0.8672 | Lubbock ISD rate, Community Impact via Soar, 2025-26 school year |
| McAllen | $250,000 | Texas REALTORS, McAllen-Edinburg-Mission metro median, Q1 2026 | $1,046 | 2.00% placeholder (no combined rate confirmed) | $0.93 | McAllen ISD rate, via KRGV, Bills from Jan 2026 |
| Waco | $290,000 | Texas REALTORS, Waco metro median, Q1 2026 | $1,368 | $2.248379 (2025 tax year) | $1.0266 | McLennan County rate list (four units inside Waco ISD; our sum on the Waco page) |
| College Station | $318,000 | Texas REALTORS, College Station-Bryan metro median, Q1 2026 | $1,431 | $1.943928 (2026 tax year) | $0.9702 | City of College Station (city + county + CSISD) |
| Amarillo | $259,950 | Texas REALTORS, Amarillo metro median, Q1 2026 | $1,126 | 2.00% placeholder (no combined rate confirmed) | $0.883 | Amarillo ISD rate, Amarillo Globe-News, 2024 tax year |
| Notes. Rent is the Apartment List 2-bedroom median (Oct 2026 data), except McAllen, Waco, College Station and Amarillo, where Apartment List has no 2-bedroom split and we use RentCafe’s large-building average. Dallas and Fort Worth share the North Texas median price. Austin’s price is the city median; the metro median is $421,000. A rate per $100 equals a percent of value: $2.1316 per $100 is 2.1316%. Rates tied to the Nov 3, 2026 election (Dallas County, SAISD) may change. | ||||||
Statewide defaults and assumptions
| Input | Default | As of | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mortgage rate, 30-year fixed | 7.24% | Week of Oct 29, 2026 | Freddie Mac PMMS, 30-year fixed, U.S. average, via Texas home prices |
| Homeowners insurance | $3,489/yr | 2025 (preliminary) | TDI average homeowners premium, Texas, via Texas insurance |
| Homestead exemption (school tax) | $140,000 | Approved Nov 4, 2025; checked Oct 31, 2026 | Texas Comptroller, school-tax residence homestead exemption |
| Down payment | 20% | — | Our assumption (avoids mortgage insurance, which we do not model) |
| HOA dues | $0 | — | Our assumption; many suburban homes have them |
| Maintenance / home price growth / rent growth / investment return | 1% / 3% / 3% / 5% | — | Our assumptions, not sourced forecasts |
| Buying and selling costs | 0% | — | Left at zero because we have no sourced Texas figure; enter your own |
Worked example: Houston at the defaults
A $325,000 home (HAR median, Sep 2026) with 20% down at 7.24%, against renting the $1,323 median 2-bedroom (Apartment List, Oct 2026 data). Property tax at $2.1316 per $100 with the homestead exemption on the HISD share. This is the same calculation the tool runs, printed here for readers without JavaScript.
| Year | Cost to own | Rent | Home value | Loan left | Buyer’s net worth | Renter’s net worth | Ahead |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | $33,751 | $15,876 | $334,750 | $257,479 | $77,271 | $86,125 | Rent +$8,853 |
| 2 | $34,161 | $16,352 | $344,793 | $254,769 | $90,024 | $108,239 | Rent +$18,215 |
| 3 | $34,583 | $16,843 | $355,136 | $251,856 | $103,281 | $131,391 | Rent +$28,110 |
| 4 | $35,018 | $17,348 | $365,790 | $248,725 | $117,066 | $155,630 | Rent +$38,564 |
| 5 | $35,466 | $17,869 | $376,764 | $245,360 | $131,405 | $181,009 | Rent +$49,604 |
| 6 | $35,927 | $18,405 | $388,067 | $241,742 | $146,325 | $207,582 | Rent +$61,257 |
| 7 | $36,403 | $18,957 | $399,709 | $237,854 | $161,855 | $235,407 | Rent +$73,552 |
| 8 | $36,892 | $19,525 | $411,700 | $233,675 | $178,025 | $264,544 | Rent +$86,519 |
| 9 | $37,396 | $20,111 | $424,051 | $229,184 | $194,868 | $295,056 | Rent +$100,188 |
| 10 | $37,916 | $20,715 | $436,773 | $224,356 | $212,417 | $327,010 | Rent +$114,593 |
| Our math. Yearly figures, rounded to the dollar. Result: renting is still ahead after 10 years. The owner spends about $1,490 a month more than the renter in year 1, and the renter’s invested savings grow faster than the owner’s equity at these settings. | |||||||
What it takes to flip the answer
Same Houston home over 10 years, changing the mortgage rate and home price growth, and in the last row rent growth and the investment return too (our math):
| Home price growth | Mortgage rate | Rent growth / investment return | Lead after 10 years | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3% | 7.24% | 3% / 5% | Rent +$114,593 | Renting is still ahead after 10 years |
| 3% | 6.00% | 3% / 5% | Rent +$75,661 | Renting is still ahead after 10 years |
| 4% | 7.24% | 3% / 5% | Rent +$78,707 | Renting is still ahead after 10 years |
| 4% | 6.00% | 3% / 5% | Rent +$39,775 | Renting is still ahead after 10 years |
| 5% | 7.24% | 3% / 5% | Rent +$39,255 | Renting is still ahead after 10 years |
| 5% | 6.00% | 3% / 5% | Rent +$323 | Renting is still ahead after 10 years |
| 5% | 6.00% | 4% / 4% | Buy +$27,970 | Buying pulls ahead in year 1 |
Add a 6% buying and selling cost to that last case and the result becomes: renting is still ahead after 10 years. Small changes in the assumptions move the answer a lot, which is the main lesson.
Out-of-date numbers you’ll still find online
The 30-year average was 6.17% a year ago and 7.24% for the week of Oct 29, 2026. The next reading is due Nov 5, 2026.
That was closer to the 2020 average. TDI’s 2025 preliminary figure is 76% higher.
Voters raised the school-tax exemption on Nov 4, 2025. Calculators still using $100,000 overstate the tax line.
Council adopted the higher rate for 2026-27. Our Austin default uses the complete 2025 stack, so it runs a little low.
How we check
Every default links to its source and date, and anything we chose ourselves is labeled as an assumption. The calculator’s results are our arithmetic on your inputs. Read the full methodology.